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ARM Armenia Premier League · Meci ·

Alashkert FC vs BKMA FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score2–01.93 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde66%
Egal21%
Victorie oaspeți13%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 66% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde66% selection probability
Projected score2–0Alashkert FCBKMA FC
Expected goals1.93Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sub70% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu77% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
66% / 21% / 13%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde66%1.52
Derived from 1X2 · excludes BKMA FC win (13.1%)Șansă dublă1X86.9%1.15
Peste 30% · Sub 70%Goals 2.5Sub70%1.43
Da 23% · Nu 77%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu77%1.30
1.93 total expected goalsScor corect2–0
8.8 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.0%Largest probability gapBKMA FC winDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Alashkert FC win66%1.521.3665.6%+0.4 pp
Egal21%4.764.3320.6%+0.4 pp
BKMA FC win13%7.696.5013.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Alashkert FC1.60

Gazde share of expected goals 82.9%

Total expected goals1.93Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Peste 30% · Sub 70%

BKMA FC0.33

Oaspeți share of expected goals 17.1%

Projected score2–0BTTS splitDa 23% · Nu 77%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Alashkert FC

1.20pts / match
Jucate5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Puncte6

SignalGazde unbeaten 4/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

BKMA FC

0.60pts / match
Jucate5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Puncte3

SignalGazde unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
66%
Câștig probability excluding draw
13%
6
Points from supplied form
3
1.60
Expected goals
0.33
Alashkert FCBKMA FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Alashkert FC signalGazde unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02BKMA FC signalGazde unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk34% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Alashkert FC vs BKMA FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 2–0 · 66% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Alashkert FC câștig 66%,Egal 21%,BKMA FC câștig 13%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.93 · Peste 2.5 30% · Current selection Sub