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ARM Armenia Premier League · Kamp ·

Alashkert FC vs BKMA FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–01.93 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier71%
Uavgjort18%
Borteseier11%
Full model forecastHjemmeseierTier A · 71% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier71% selection probability
Projected score2–0Alashkert FCBKMA FC
Expected goals1.93Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under70% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerNei77% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
71% / 18% / 11%KampresultatHjemmeseier71%1.41
Derived from 1X2 · excludes BKMA FC win (11%)Dobbel sjanse1X89%1.12
Over 30% · Under 70%Goals 2.5Under70%1.43
Ja 23% · Nei 77%Begge lag scorerNei77%1.30
1.93 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–0
8.8 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.1%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomePrognoseRettferdig oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Alashkert FC win71%1.411.2971.1%-0.1 pp
Uavgjort18%5.565.2517.5%+0.5 pp
BKMA FC win11%9.098.0011.5%-0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Alashkert FC1.60

Hjemme share of expected goals 82.9%

Total expected goals1.93Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 30% · Under 70%

BKMA FC0.33

Borte share of expected goals 17.1%

Projected score2–0BTTS splitJa 23% · Nei 77%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Alashkert FC

1.20pts / match
Spilt5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Poeng6

SignalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

Borte-context · form sequence

BKMA FC

0.60pts / match
Spilt5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Poeng3

SignalHjemme unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
71%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
11%
6
Points from supplied form
3
1.60
Expected goals
0.33
Alashkert FCBKMA FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Alashkert FC signalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02BKMA FC signalHjemme unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk29% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 18%.

Match questions

Alashkert FC vs BKMA FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 2–0 · 71% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Alashkert FC vunnet 71%,Uavgjort 18%,BKMA FC vunnet 11%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.93 · Over 2.5 30% · Current selection Under