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ARM Armenia Premier League · Мач ·

Алашкерт vs ФК БКМА

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score2–01.93 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина71%
Равен18%
Победа за госта11%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 71% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина71% selection probability
Projected score2–0АлашкертФК БКМА
Expected goals1.93Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Под70% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе77% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
71% / 18% / 11%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина71%1.41
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ФК БКМА win (11%)Двоен шанс1X89%1.12
Над 30% · Под 70%Goals 2.5Под70%1.43
Да 23% · Не 77%И двата отбора да отбележатНе77%1.30
1.93 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–0
8.8 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.1%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Алашкерт win71%1.411.2971.1%-0.1 pp
Равен18%5.565.2517.5%+0.5 pp
ФК БКМА win11%9.098.0011.5%-0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Алашкерт1.60

Домакин share of expected goals 82.9%

Total expected goals1.93Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Над 30% · Под 70%

ФК БКМА0.33

Гост share of expected goals 17.1%

Projected score2–0BTTS splitДа 23% · Не 77%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Алашкерт

1.20pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Точки6

SignalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

ФК БКМА

0.60pts / match
Изиграни5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Точки3

SignalДомакин unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
71%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
11%
6
Points from supplied form
3
1.60
Expected goals
0.33
АлашкертФК БКМА
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Алашкерт signalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ФК БКМА signalДомакин unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk29% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 18%.

Match questions

Алашкерт vs ФК БКМА FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–0 · 71% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Алашкерт печеливш 71%,Равен 18%,ФК БКМА печеливш 11%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.93 · Над 2.5 30% · Current selection Под