Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
48% / 27% / 24%Match resultHome win48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Concon National win (24.4%)Double chance1X75.6%1.32
Over 36% · Under 64%Goals 2.5Under64%1.56
Yes 43% · No 57%Both teams scoreNo57%1.75
2.14 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1——
9.0 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin12.0%Largest probability gapProvincial Osorno winDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Provincial Osorno win48%2.081.8348.8%-0.8 pp
Draw27%3.703.3027.1%-0.1 pp
Concon National win24%4.173.7024.1%-0.1 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 56.5%
Total expected goals2.14Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Over 36% · Under 64%
Away share of expected goals 43.5%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 43% · No 57%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchProvincial Osorno
DWDDD
Played5Wins1Drawn4Losses0Points7
SignalHome unbeaten 5/5
Away-context · form sequence
2.60pts / matchConcon National
WDWWW
Played5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Points13
SignalHome clean sheets: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
48%
Win probability excluding draw
24%7
Points from supplied form
131.21
Expected goals
0.93Provincial OsornoConcon National
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.
Match questions
Provincial Osorno vs Concon National FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 48% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Provincial Osorno win 48%，Draw 27%，Concon National win 24%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.14 · Over 2.5 36% · Current selection Under。