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CHL Chile - Segunda · Meci ·

Provincial Osorno vs Concon National

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score1–12.14 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde48%
Egal27%
Victorie oaspeți24%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde48% selection probability
Projected score1–1Provincial OsornoConcon National
Expected goals2.14Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sub64% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
48% / 27% / 24%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Concon National win (24.4%)Șansă dublă1X75.6%1.32
Peste 36% · Sub 64%Goals 2.5Sub64%1.56
Da 43% · Nu 57%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu57%1.75
2.14 total expected goalsScor corect1–1
9.0 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.0%Largest probability gapProvincial Osorno winDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Provincial Osorno win48%2.081.8348.8%-0.8 pp
Egal27%3.703.3027.1%-0.1 pp
Concon National win24%4.173.7024.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Provincial Osorno1.21

Gazde share of expected goals 56.5%

Total expected goals2.14Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Peste 36% · Sub 64%

Concon National0.93

Oaspeți share of expected goals 43.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitDa 43% · Nu 57%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Provincial Osorno

1.40pts / match
Jucate5Wins1Drawn4Losses0Puncte7

SignalGazde unbeaten 5/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Concon National

2.60pts / match
Jucate5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Puncte13

SignalGazde clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Câștig probability excluding draw
24%
7
Points from supplied form
13
1.21
Expected goals
0.93
Provincial OsornoConcon National
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Provincial Osorno signalGazde unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Concon National signalGazde clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Provincial Osorno vs Concon National FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 1–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Provincial Osorno câștig 48%,Egal 27%,Concon National câștig 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.14 · Peste 2.5 36% · Current selection Sub