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CHL Chile - Segunda · Match ·

Provincial Osorno vs Concon National

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–12.14 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger48%
Oavgjort27%
Bortaseger24%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger48% selection probability
Projected score1–1Provincial OsornoConcon National
Expected goals2.14Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under64% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
48% / 27% / 24%MatchresultatHemmaseger48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Concon National win (24.4%)Dubbelchans1X75.6%1.32
Över 36% · Under 64%Goals 2.5Under64%1.56
Ja 43% · Nej 57%Båda lagen gör målNej57%1.75
2.14 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.0 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.0%Largest probability gapProvincial Osorno winDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Provincial Osorno win48%2.081.8348.8%-0.8 pp
Oavgjort27%3.703.3027.1%-0.1 pp
Concon National win24%4.173.7024.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Provincial Osorno1.21

Hemma share of expected goals 56.5%

Total expected goals2.14Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Över 36% · Under 64%

Concon National0.93

Borta share of expected goals 43.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 43% · Nej 57%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Provincial Osorno

1.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn4Losses0Poäng7

SignalHemma unbeaten 5/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Concon National

2.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Poäng13

SignalHemma clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
24%
7
Points from supplied form
13
1.21
Expected goals
0.93
Provincial OsornoConcon National
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Provincial Osorno signalHemma unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Concon National signalHemma clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Provincial Osorno vs Concon National FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Provincial Osorno vunnen 48%,Oavgjort 27%,Concon National vunnen 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.14 · Över 2.5 36% · Current selection Under