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CHL Chili - Segunda · Match ·

Provincial Osorno vs Concon National

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–12.14 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile48%
Nul27%
Victoire à l’extérieur24%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile48% selection probability
Projected score1–1Provincial OsornoConcon National
Expected goals2.14Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de64% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
48% / 27% / 24%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Concon National win (24.4%)Double chance1X75.6%1.32
Plus de 36% · Moins de 64%Goals 2.5Moins de64%1.56
Oui 43% · Non 57%Les deux équipes marquentNon57%1.75
2.14 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
9.0 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.0%Largest probability gapProvincial Osorno winDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Provincial Osorno win48%2.081.8348.8%-0.8 pp
Nul27%3.703.3027.1%-0.1 pp
Concon National win24%4.173.7024.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Provincial Osorno1.21

Domicile share of expected goals 56.5%

Total expected goals2.14Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 36% · Moins de 64%

Concon National0.93

Extérieur share of expected goals 43.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 43% · Non 57%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Provincial Osorno

1.40pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn4Losses0Points7

SignalDomicile unbeaten 5/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Concon National

2.60pts / match
Joués5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Points13

SignalDomicile clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Gagné probability excluding draw
24%
7
Points from supplied form
13
1.21
Expected goals
0.93
Provincial OsornoConcon National
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Provincial Osorno signalDomicile unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Concon National signalDomicile clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Provincial Osorno vs Concon National FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 1–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Provincial Osorno victoire 48%,Nul 27%,Concon National victoire 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.14 · Plus de 2.5 36% · Current selection Moins de