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CHL Chile - Segunda División · Spiel ·

Provincial Osorno vs Concón National

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–12.14 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg48%
Unentschieden27%
Auswärtssieg24%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg48% selection probability
Projected score1–1Provincial OsornoConcón National
Expected goals2.14Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Unter64% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
48% / 27% / 24%SpielergebnisHeimsieg48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Concón National win (24.4%)Doppelte Chance1X75.6%1.32
Über 36% · Unter 64%Goals 2.5Unter64%1.56
Ja 43% · Nein 57%Beide Teams treffenNein57%1.75
2.14 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
9.0 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.0%Largest probability gapProvincial Osorno winDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Provincial Osorno win48%2.081.8348.8%-0.8 pp
Unentschieden27%3.703.3027.1%-0.1 pp
Concón National win24%4.173.7024.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Provincial Osorno1.21

Heim share of expected goals 56.5%

Total expected goals2.14Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Über 36% · Unter 64%

Concón National0.93

Auswärts share of expected goals 43.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 43% · Nein 57%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Provincial Osorno

1.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn4Losses0Punkte7

SignalHeim unbeaten 5/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Concón National

2.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punkte13

SignalHeim clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
24%
7
Points from supplied form
13
1.21
Expected goals
0.93
Provincial OsornoConcón National
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Provincial Osorno signalHeim unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Concón National signalHeim clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Provincial Osorno vs Concón National FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Provincial Osorno Gewinn 48%,Unentschieden 27%,Concón National Gewinn 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.14 · Über 2.5 36% · Current selection Unter