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CHL Chile - Segunda División · Partido ·

Provincial Osorno vs Concón National

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–12.14 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local48%
Empate27%
Victoria visitante24%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local48% selection probability
Projected score1–1Provincial OsornoConcón National
Expected goals2.14Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de64% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
48% / 27% / 24%Resultado del partidoVictoria local48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Concón National win (24.4%)Doble Oportunidad1X75.6%1.32
Más de 36% · Menos de 64%Goals 2.5Menos de64%1.56
Sí 43% · No 57%Ambos equipos marcanNo57%1.75
2.14 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
9.0 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.0%Largest probability gapProvincial Osorno winDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Provincial Osorno win48%2.081.8348.8%-0.8 pp
Empate27%3.703.3027.1%-0.1 pp
Concón National win24%4.173.7024.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Provincial Osorno1.21

Local share of expected goals 56.5%

Total expected goals2.14Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Más de 36% · Menos de 64%

Concón National0.93

Visitante share of expected goals 43.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 43% · No 57%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Provincial Osorno

1.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn4Losses0Puntos7

SignalLocal unbeaten 5/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Concón National

2.60pts / match
Jugados5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Puntos13

SignalLocal clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Ganado probability excluding draw
24%
7
Points from supplied form
13
1.21
Expected goals
0.93
Provincial OsornoConcón National
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Provincial Osorno signalLocal unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Concón National signalLocal clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Provincial Osorno vs Concón National FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 1–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Provincial Osorno ganada 48%,Empate 27%,Concón National ganada 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.14 · Más de 2.5 36% · Current selection Menos de