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CHN China Division 1 · Fixture ·

Dingnan Ganlian FC vs Dalian K'un City

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score3–25.25 expected goals
Away form
Home win41%
Draw27%
Away win32%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win41% selection probability
Projected score3–2Dingnan Ganlian FCDalian K'un City
Expected goals5.25Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over89% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes86% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
41% / 27% / 32%Match resultHome win41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.1%)Double chance1272.9%1.37
Over 89% · Under 11%Goals 2.5Over89%1.12
Yes 86% · No 14%Both teams scoreYes86%1.16
5.25 total expected goalsCorrect score3–2
10.2 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapDingnan Ganlian FC winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Dingnan Ganlian FC win41%2.442.2539.9%+1.1 pp
Draw27%3.703.2028%-1.0 pp
Dalian K'un City win32%3.132.8032.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Dingnan Ganlian FC2.80

Home share of expected goals 53.3%

Total expected goals5.25Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 89% · Under 11%

Dalian K'un City2.45

Away share of expected goals 46.7%

Projected score3–2BTTS splitYes 86% · No 14%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Dingnan Ganlian FC

0.40pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Points2

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Dalian K'un City

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalHome failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Win probability excluding draw
32%
2
Points from supplied form
5
2.80
Expected goals
2.45
Dingnan Ganlian FCDalian K'un City
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Dingnan Ganlian FC signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Dalian K'un City signalHome failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Dingnan Ganlian FC vs Dalian K'un City FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 3–2 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Dingnan Ganlian FC win 41%,Draw 27%,Dalian K'un City win 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 5.25 · Over 2.5 89% · Current selection Over