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CHN China Division 1 · Match ·

Dingnan Ganlian FC vs Dalian K'un City

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score3–25.25 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile41%
Nul27%
Victoire à l’extérieur32%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile41% selection probability
Projected score3–2Dingnan Ganlian FCDalian K'un City
Expected goals5.25Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de89% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui86% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
41% / 27% / 32%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.1%)Double chance1272.9%1.37
Plus de 89% · Moins de 11%Goals 2.5Plus de89%1.12
Oui 86% · Non 14%Les deux équipes marquentOui86%1.16
5.25 total expected goalsScore exact3–2
10.2 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapDingnan Ganlian FC winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Dingnan Ganlian FC win41%2.442.2539.9%+1.1 pp
Nul27%3.703.2028%-1.0 pp
Dalian K'un City win32%3.132.8032.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Dingnan Ganlian FC2.80

Domicile share of expected goals 53.3%

Total expected goals5.25Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 89% · Moins de 11%

Dalian K'un City2.45

Extérieur share of expected goals 46.7%

Projected score3–2BTTS splitOui 86% · Non 14%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Dingnan Ganlian FC

0.40pts / match
Joués5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Points2

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Dalian K'un City

1.00pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Gagné probability excluding draw
32%
2
Points from supplied form
5
2.80
Expected goals
2.45
Dingnan Ganlian FCDalian K'un City
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Dingnan Ganlian FC signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Dalian K'un City signalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Dingnan Ganlian FC vs Dalian K'un City FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 3–2 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Dingnan Ganlian FC victoire 41%,Nul 27%,Dalian K'un City victoire 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 5.25 · Plus de 2.5 89% · Current selection Plus de