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CHN China Division 1 · Spiel ·

Dingnan Ganlian FC vs Dalian K'un City

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score3–25.25 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg41%
Unentschieden27%
Auswärtssieg32%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg41% selection probability
Projected score3–2Dingnan Ganlian FCDalian K'un City
Expected goals5.25Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über89% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa86% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
41% / 27% / 32%SpielergebnisHeimsieg41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.1%)Doppelte Chance1272.9%1.37
Über 89% · Unter 11%Goals 2.5Über89%1.12
Ja 86% · Nein 14%Beide Teams treffenJa86%1.16
5.25 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis3–2
10.2 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapDingnan Ganlian FC winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Dingnan Ganlian FC win41%2.442.2539.9%+1.1 pp
Unentschieden27%3.703.2028%-1.0 pp
Dalian K'un City win32%3.132.8032.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Dingnan Ganlian FC2.80

Heim share of expected goals 53.3%

Total expected goals5.25Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 89% · Unter 11%

Dalian K'un City2.45

Auswärts share of expected goals 46.7%

Projected score3–2BTTS splitJa 86% · Nein 14%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Dingnan Ganlian FC

0.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Punkte2

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Dalian K'un City

1.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punkte5

SignalHeim failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
32%
2
Points from supplied form
5
2.80
Expected goals
2.45
Dingnan Ganlian FCDalian K'un City
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Dingnan Ganlian FC signalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Dalian K'un City signalHeim failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Dingnan Ganlian FC vs Dalian K'un City FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 3–2 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Dingnan Ganlian FC Gewinn 41%,Unentschieden 27%,Dalian K'un City Gewinn 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 5.25 · Über 2.5 89% · Current selection Über