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CHN China Division 1 · Partita ·

Dingnan Ganlian FC vs Dalian K'un City

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score3–25.25 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa41%
Pareggio27%
Vittoria ospite32%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa41% selection probability
Projected score3–2Dingnan Ganlian FCDalian K'un City
Expected goals5.25Apertura match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra89% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano86% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
41% / 27% / 32%Esito partitaVittoria casa41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.1%)Doppia Chance1272.9%1.37
Sopra 89% · Sotto 11%Goals 2.5Sopra89%1.12
Sì 86% · No 14%Entrambe le squadre segnano86%1.16
5.25 total expected goalsRisultato esatto3–2
10.2 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapDingnan Ganlian FC winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Dingnan Ganlian FC win41%2.442.2539.9%+1.1 pp
Pareggio27%3.703.2028%-1.0 pp
Dalian K'un City win32%3.132.8032.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Dingnan Ganlian FC2.80

Casa share of expected goals 53.3%

Total expected goals5.25Apertura

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 89% · Sotto 11%

Dalian K'un City2.45

Trasferta share of expected goals 46.7%

Projected score3–2BTTS split 86% · No 14%Match profileApertura
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Dingnan Ganlian FC

0.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Punti2

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Dalian K'un City

1.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punti5

SignalCasa failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Vinta probability excluding draw
32%
2
Points from supplied form
5
2.80
Expected goals
2.45
Dingnan Ganlian FCDalian K'un City
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Dingnan Ganlian FC signalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Dalian K'un City signalCasa failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Dingnan Ganlian FC vs Dalian K'un City FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 3–2 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Dingnan Ganlian FC vinta 41%,Pareggio 27%,Dalian K'un City vinta 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 5.25 · Sopra 2.5 89% · Current selection Sopra