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CHN 中國甲級聯賽 · 比賽 ·

定南贛聯FC vs 大連鯤城

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score3–25.25 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝41%
27%
客勝32%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝41% selection probability
Projected score3–2定南贛聯FC大連鯤城
Expected goals5.25初盤 match profile
Goals 2.589% for the selected side
雙方進球86% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2大 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
41% / 27% / 32%比賽結果主勝41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.1%)雙重機會1272.9%1.37
大 89% · 小 11%Goals 2.589%1.12
是 86% · 否 14%雙方進球86%1.16
5.25 total expected goals正確比分3–2
10.2 expected match corners角球大 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-1.0 pp
Outcome預測公平賠率Reference oddsNormalized marketDifference
定南贛聯FC win41%2.442.2040.8%+0.2 pp
27%3.703.2028%-1.0 pp
大連鯤城 win32%3.132.8831.2%+0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

定南贛聯FC2.80

主隊 share of expected goals 53.3%

Total expected goals5.25初盤

Dedicated goals model: 89% · 11%

大連鯤城2.45

客隊 share of expected goals 46.7%

Projected score3–2BTTS split 86% · 14%Match profile初盤
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

定南贛聯FC

0.40pts / match
5Wins0Drawn2Losses3積分2

Signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 4/5

客隊-context · form sequence

大連鯤城

1.00pts / match
5Wins1Drawn2Losses2積分5

Signal主隊 failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
贏 probability excluding draw
32%
2
Points from supplied form
5
2.80
Expected goals
2.45
定南贛聯FC大連鯤城
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01定南贛聯FC signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02大連鯤城 signal主隊 failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

定南贛聯FC vs 大連鯤城 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 3–2 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

定南贛聯FC 41%, 27%,大連鯤城 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 5.25 · 大2.5 89% · Current selection