Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
42% / 29% / 30%Match resultHome win42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.7%)Double chance1271.3%1.40
Over 49% · Under 51%Goals 2.5Under51%1.96
Yes 53% · No 47%Both teams scoreYes53%1.89
2.64 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
9.5 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Mantova win42%2.38
Draw29%3.45
Empoli win30%3.33
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 57.6%
Total expected goals2.64Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 49% · Under 51%
Away share of expected goals 42.4%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 53% · No 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.80pts / matchMantova
WLWLW
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9
SignalHome won 3/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.80pts / matchEmpoli
WDDWD
Played5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Points9
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
42%
Win probability excluding draw
30%9
Points from supplied form
91.52
Expected goals
1.12MantovaEmpoli
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 29%.
Match questions
Mantova vs Empoli FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 42% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Mantova win 42%，Draw 29%，Empoli win 30%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.64 · Over 2.5 49% · Current selection Under。