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ITA Włochy - Serie B · Mecz ·

Mantova vs Empoli

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score2–12.64 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy42%
Remis29%
Wygrana gości30%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy42% selection probability
Projected score2–1MantovaEmpoli
Expected goals2.64Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Poniżej51% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
42% / 29% / 30%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.7%)Podwójna szansa1271.3%1.40
Powyżej 49% · Poniżej 51%Goals 2.5Poniżej51%1.96
Tak 53% · Nie 47%Obie drużyny strzeląTak53%1.89
2.64 total expected goalsDokładny wynik2–1
9.5 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nie snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityUczciwy kurs
Mantova win42%2.38
Remis29%3.45
Empoli win30%3.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Mantova1.52

Gospodarze share of expected goals 57.6%

Total expected goals2.64Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 49% · Poniżej 51%

Empoli1.12

Goście share of expected goals 42.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitTak 53% · Nie 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Mantova

1.80pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punkty9

SignalGospodarze won 3/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Empoli

1.80pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Punkty9

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
30%
9
Points from supplied form
9
1.52
Expected goals
1.12
MantovaEmpoli
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Mantova signalGospodarze won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Empoli signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Mantova vs Empoli FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 2–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Mantova wygrana 42%,Remis 29%,Empoli wygrana 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.64 · Powyżej 2.5 49% · Current selection Poniżej