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Mantova vs Empoli

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–12.64 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier42%
Uavgjort29%
Borteseier30%
Full model forecastHjemmeseierTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier42% selection probability
Projected score2–1MantovaEmpoli
Expected goals2.64Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under51% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerJa53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
42% / 29% / 30%KampresultatHjemmeseier42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.7%)Dobbel sjanse1271.3%1.40
Over 49% · Under 51%Goals 2.5Under51%1.96
Ja 53% · Nei 47%Begge lag scorerJa53%1.89
2.64 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.5 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nei snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRettferdig odds
Mantova win42%2.38
Uavgjort29%3.45
Empoli win30%3.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Mantova1.52

Hjemme share of expected goals 57.6%

Total expected goals2.64Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 49% · Under 51%

Empoli1.12

Borte share of expected goals 42.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 53% · Nei 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Mantova

1.80pts / match
Spilt5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Poeng9

SignalHjemme won 3/5

Borte-context · form sequence

Empoli

1.80pts / match
Spilt5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Poeng9

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
30%
9
Points from supplied form
9
1.52
Expected goals
1.12
MantovaEmpoli
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Mantova signalHjemme won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Empoli signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Mantova vs Empoli FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 2–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Mantova vunnet 42%,Uavgjort 29%,Empoli vunnet 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.64 · Over 2.5 49% · Current selection Under