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ITA Italia - Serie B · Partido ·

Mantova vs Empoli

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score2–12.64 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local42%
Empate29%
Victoria visitante30%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local42% selection probability
Projected score2–1MantovaEmpoli
Expected goals2.64Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de51% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
42% / 29% / 30%Resultado del partidoVictoria local42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.7%)Doble Oportunidad1271.3%1.40
Más de 49% · Menos de 51%Goals 2.5Menos de51%1.96
Sí 53% · No 47%Ambos equipos marcan53%1.89
2.64 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–1
9.5 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCuotas justas
Mantova win42%2.38
Empate29%3.45
Empoli win30%3.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Mantova1.52

Local share of expected goals 57.6%

Total expected goals2.64Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 49% · Menos de 51%

Empoli1.12

Visitante share of expected goals 42.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 53% · No 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Mantova

1.80pts / match
Jugados5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Puntos9

SignalLocal won 3/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Empoli

1.80pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Puntos9

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Ganado probability excluding draw
30%
9
Points from supplied form
9
1.52
Expected goals
1.12
MantovaEmpoli
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Mantova signalLocal won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Empoli signalLocal matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Mantova vs Empoli FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Mantova ganada 42%,Empate 29%,Empoli ganada 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.64 · Más de 2.5 49% · Current selection Menos de