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Mantova vs Empoli

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Chủ nhà form
Projected score2–12.64 expected goals
Khách form
Chủ nhà thắng42%
Hòa29%
Đội khách thắng30%
Full model forecastChủ nhà thắngTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callChủ nhà thắng42% selection probability
Projected score2–1MantovaEmpoli
Expected goals2.64Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Xỉu51% for the selected side
Cả hai đội ghi bàn53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Xỉu 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketLựa chọnXác suấtTỷ lệ công bằng
42% / 29% / 30%Kết quả trận đấuChủ nhà thắng42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.7%)Cơ hội kép1271.3%1.40
Tài 49% · Xỉu 51%Goals 2.5Xỉu51%1.96
Có 53% · Không 47%Cả hai đội ghi bàn53%1.89
2.64 total expected goalsTỷ số chính xác2–1
9.5 expected match cornersPhạt gócXỉu 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Không snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityTỷ lệ công bằng
Mantova win42%2.38
Hòa29%3.45
Empoli win30%3.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Mantova1.52

Chủ nhà share of expected goals 57.6%

Total expected goals2.64Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Tài 49% · Xỉu 51%

Empoli1.12

Khách share of expected goals 42.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 53% · Không 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Chủ nhà-context · form sequence

Mantova

1.80pts / match
Số trận5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Điểm9

SignalChủ nhà won 3/5

Khách-context · form sequence

Empoli

1.80pts / match
Số trận5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Điểm9

SignalChủ nhà matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Thắng probability excluding draw
30%
9
Points from supplied form
9
1.52
Expected goals
1.12
MantovaEmpoli
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Mantova signalChủ nhà won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Empoli signalChủ nhà matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Hòa probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Mantova vs Empoli FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Chủ nhà thắng · Projected score 2–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Mantova thắng 42%,Hòa 29%,Empoli thắng 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.64 · Tài 2.5 49% · Current selection Xỉu