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ITA Italy Serie B · Fixture ·

Benevento vs Sudtirol

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.51 expected goals
Away form
Home win44%
Draw30%
Away win26%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 44% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win44% selection probability
Projected score1–1BeneventoSudtirol
Expected goals2.51Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under55% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
44% / 30% / 26%Match resultHome win44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sudtirol win (26%)Double chance1X74%1.35
Over 45% · Under 55%Goals 2.5Under55%1.82
Yes 51% · No 49%Both teams scoreYes51%1.96
2.51 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.0 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin7.7%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Benevento win44%2.272.1044.2%
Draw30%3.333.1030%
Sudtirol win26%3.853.6025.8%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Benevento1.45

Home share of expected goals 57.8%

Total expected goals2.51Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 45% · Under 55%

Sudtirol1.06

Away share of expected goals 42.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 51% · No 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Benevento

1.75pts / match
Played4Wins2Drawn1Losses1Points7

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/4

Away-context · form sequence

Sudtirol

2.20pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Points11

SignalAway unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Win probability excluding draw
26%
7
Points from supplied form
11
1.45
Expected goals
1.06
BeneventoSudtirol
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Benevento signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/4

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sudtirol signalAway unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Benevento vs Sudtirol FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Benevento win 44%,Draw 30%,Sudtirol win 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.51 · Over 2.5 45% · Current selection Under