Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
76% / 16% / 8%Match resultHome win76%1.32
Derived from 1X2 · excludes IFK Mariehamn win (7.8%)Double chance1X92.2%1.08
Over 69% · Under 31%Goals 2.5Over69%1.45
Yes 36% · No 64%Both teams scoreNo64%1.56
3.57 total expected goalsCorrect score3–0——
10.5 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
KuPS Kuopio win76%1.32
Draw16%6.25
IFK Mariehamn win8%12.50
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 86.6%
Total expected goals3.57Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 69% · Under 31%
Away share of expected goals 13.4%
Projected score3–0BTTS splitYes 36% · No 64%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
2.00pts / matchKuPS Kuopio
WDWLW
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10
SignalHome unbeaten 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
0.80pts / matchIFK Mariehamn
WLLDL
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4
SignalAway matches under 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
76%
Win probability excluding draw
8%10
Points from supplied form
43.09
Expected goals
0.48KuPS KuopioIFK Mariehamn
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 16%.
Match questions
KuPS Kuopio vs IFK Mariehamn FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 3–0 · 76% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
KuPS Kuopio win 76%，Draw 16%，IFK Mariehamn win 8%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.57 · Over 2.5 69% · Current selection Over。