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FIN Finland Veikkausliiga · Partida ·

KuPS Kuopio vs IFK Mariehamn

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score3–03.55 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa76%
Empate16%
Vitória visitante8%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 76% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa76% selection probability
Projected score3–0KuPS KuopioIFK Mariehamn
Expected goals3.55Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Acima69% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamNão64% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Acima 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
76% / 16% / 8%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa76%1.32
Derived from 1X2 · excludes IFK Mariehamn win (7.9%)Dupla Chance1X92.1%1.09
Acima 69% · Abaixo 31%Goals 2.5Acima69%1.45
Sim 36% · Não 64%Ambas as equipes marcamNão64%1.56
3.55 total expected goalsPlacar exato3–0
10.5 expected match cornersEscanteiosAcima 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Não snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityOdds justas
KuPS Kuopio win76%1.32
Empate16%6.25
IFK Mariehamn win8%12.50

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

KuPS Kuopio3.07

Mandante share of expected goals 86.5%

Total expected goals3.55Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Acima 69% · Abaixo 31%

IFK Mariehamn0.48

Visitante share of expected goals 13.5%

Projected score3–0BTTS splitSim 36% · Não 64%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

KuPS Kuopio

2.00pts / match
Jogos5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Pontos10

SignalMandante unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

IFK Mariehamn

0.80pts / match
Jogos5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Pontos4

SignalVisitante matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
76%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
8%
10
Points from supplied form
4
3.07
Expected goals
0.48
KuPS KuopioIFK Mariehamn
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01KuPS Kuopio signalMandante unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02IFK Mariehamn signalVisitante matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk24% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 16%.

Match questions

KuPS Kuopio vs IFK Mariehamn FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 3–0 · 76% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

KuPS Kuopio ganhou 76%,Empate 16%,IFK Mariehamn ganhou 8%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.55 · Acima 2.5 69% · Current selection Acima