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FIN Finland Veikkausliiga · Kamp ·

KuPS Kuopio vs IFK Mariehamn

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score3–03.57 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier76%
Uavgjort16%
Borteseier8%
Full model forecastHjemmeseierTier A · 76% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier76% selection probability
Projected score3–0KuPS KuopioIFK Mariehamn
Expected goals3.57Åpning match profile
Goals 2.5Over69% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerNei64% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
76% / 16% / 8%KampresultatHjemmeseier76%1.32
Derived from 1X2 · excludes IFK Mariehamn win (7.8%)Dobbel sjanse1X92.2%1.08
Over 69% · Under 31%Goals 2.5Over69%1.45
Ja 36% · Nei 64%Begge lag scorerNei64%1.56
3.57 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat3–0
10.5 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nei snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRettferdig odds
KuPS Kuopio win76%1.32
Uavgjort16%6.25
IFK Mariehamn win8%12.50

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

KuPS Kuopio3.09

Hjemme share of expected goals 86.6%

Total expected goals3.57Åpning

Dedicated goals model: Over 69% · Under 31%

IFK Mariehamn0.48

Borte share of expected goals 13.4%

Projected score3–0BTTS splitJa 36% · Nei 64%Match profileÅpning
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

KuPS Kuopio

2.00pts / match
Spilt5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Poeng10

SignalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

Borte-context · form sequence

IFK Mariehamn

0.80pts / match
Spilt5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Poeng4

SignalBorte matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
76%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
8%
10
Points from supplied form
4
3.09
Expected goals
0.48
KuPS KuopioIFK Mariehamn
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01KuPS Kuopio signalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02IFK Mariehamn signalBorte matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk24% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 16%.

Match questions

KuPS Kuopio vs IFK Mariehamn FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 3–0 · 76% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

KuPS Kuopio vunnet 76%,Uavgjort 16%,IFK Mariehamn vunnet 8%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.57 · Over 2.5 69% · Current selection Over