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FIN Finland Veikkausliiga · Maç ·

KuPS Kuopio vs IFK Mariehamn

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score3–03.55 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır76%
Beraberlik16%
Deplasman kazanır8%
Full model forecastEv sahibi kazanırTier A · 76% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEv sahibi kazanır76% selection probability
Projected score3–0KuPS KuopioIFK Mariehamn
Expected goals3.55Açılış match profile
Goals 2.5Üst69% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varHayır64% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Üst 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
76% / 16% / 8%Maç sonucuEv sahibi kazanır76%1.32
Derived from 1X2 · excludes IFK Mariehamn win (7.9%)Çifte Şans1X92.1%1.09
Üst 69% · Alt 31%Goals 2.5Üst69%1.45
Evet 36% · Hayır 64%Karşılıklı gol varHayır64%1.56
3.55 total expected goalsDoğru skor3–0
10.5 expected match cornersKornerlerÜst 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Hayır snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityAdil oran
KuPS Kuopio win76%1.32
Beraberlik16%6.25
IFK Mariehamn win8%12.50

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

KuPS Kuopio3.07

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 86.5%

Total expected goals3.55Açılış

Dedicated goals model: Üst 69% · Alt 31%

IFK Mariehamn0.48

Deplasman share of expected goals 13.5%

Projected score3–0BTTS splitEvet 36% · Hayır 64%Match profileAçılış
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

KuPS Kuopio

2.00pts / match
Oynanan5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puan10

SignalEv Sahibi unbeaten 4/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

IFK Mariehamn

0.80pts / match
Oynanan5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puan4

SignalDeplasman matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
76%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
8%
10
Points from supplied form
4
3.07
Expected goals
0.48
KuPS KuopioIFK Mariehamn
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01KuPS Kuopio signalEv Sahibi unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02IFK Mariehamn signalDeplasman matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk24% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 16%.

Match questions

KuPS Kuopio vs IFK Mariehamn FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ev sahibi kazanır · Projected score 3–0 · 76% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

KuPS Kuopio kazanç 76%,Beraberlik 16%,IFK Mariehamn kazanç 8%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.55 · 2.5 Üst 69% · Current selection Üst