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FIN Finland Veikkausliiga · Match ·

KuPS Kuopio vs IFK Mariehamn

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score3–03.57 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger76%
Oavgjort16%
Bortaseger8%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 76% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger76% selection probability
Projected score3–0KuPS KuopioIFK Mariehamn
Expected goals3.57Öppna match profile
Goals 2.5Över69% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej64% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
76% / 16% / 8%MatchresultatHemmaseger76%1.32
Derived from 1X2 · excludes IFK Mariehamn win (7.8%)Dubbelchans1X92.2%1.08
Över 69% · Under 31%Goals 2.5Över69%1.45
Ja 36% · Nej 64%Båda lagen gör målNej64%1.56
3.57 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat3–0
10.5 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
KuPS Kuopio win76%1.32
Oavgjort16%6.25
IFK Mariehamn win8%12.50

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

KuPS Kuopio3.09

Hemma share of expected goals 86.6%

Total expected goals3.57Öppna

Dedicated goals model: Över 69% · Under 31%

IFK Mariehamn0.48

Borta share of expected goals 13.4%

Projected score3–0BTTS splitJa 36% · Nej 64%Match profileÖppna
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

KuPS Kuopio

2.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Poäng10

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

IFK Mariehamn

0.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Poäng4

SignalBorta matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
76%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
8%
10
Points from supplied form
4
3.09
Expected goals
0.48
KuPS KuopioIFK Mariehamn
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01KuPS Kuopio signalHemma unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02IFK Mariehamn signalBorta matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk24% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 16%.

Match questions

KuPS Kuopio vs IFK Mariehamn FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 3–0 · 76% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

KuPS Kuopio vunnen 76%,Oavgjort 16%,IFK Mariehamn vunnen 8%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.57 · Över 2.5 69% · Current selection Över