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FIN Finland Veikkausliiga · Partita ·

KuPS Kuopio vs IFK Mariehamn

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score3–03.57 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa76%
Pareggio16%
Vittoria ospite8%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 76% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa76% selection probability
Projected score3–0KuPS KuopioIFK Mariehamn
Expected goals3.57Apertura match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra69% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo64% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
76% / 16% / 8%Esito partitaVittoria casa76%1.32
Derived from 1X2 · excludes IFK Mariehamn win (7.8%)Doppia Chance1X92.2%1.08
Sopra 69% · Sotto 31%Goals 2.5Sopra69%1.45
Sì 36% · No 64%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo64%1.56
3.57 total expected goalsRisultato esatto3–0
10.5 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
KuPS Kuopio win76%1.32
Pareggio16%6.25
IFK Mariehamn win8%12.50

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

KuPS Kuopio3.09

Casa share of expected goals 86.6%

Total expected goals3.57Apertura

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 69% · Sotto 31%

IFK Mariehamn0.48

Trasferta share of expected goals 13.4%

Projected score3–0BTTS split 36% · No 64%Match profileApertura
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

KuPS Kuopio

2.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punti10

SignalCasa unbeaten 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

IFK Mariehamn

0.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punti4

SignalTrasferta matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
76%
Vinta probability excluding draw
8%
10
Points from supplied form
4
3.09
Expected goals
0.48
KuPS KuopioIFK Mariehamn
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01KuPS Kuopio signalCasa unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02IFK Mariehamn signalTrasferta matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk24% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 16%.

Match questions

KuPS Kuopio vs IFK Mariehamn FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 3–0 · 76% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

KuPS Kuopio vinta 76%,Pareggio 16%,IFK Mariehamn vinta 8%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.57 · Sopra 2.5 69% · Current selection Sopra