Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
43% / 27% / 30%Match resultHome win43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.9%)Double chance1273.1%1.37
Over 60% · Under 40%Goals 2.5Over60%1.67
Yes 61% · No 39%Both teams scoreYes61%1.64
3.09 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
9.9 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
FC Ilves win43%2.33
Draw27%3.70
VPS Vaasa win30%3.33
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 57.3%
Total expected goals3.09Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 60% · Under 40%
Away share of expected goals 42.7%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 61% · No 39%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.80pts / matchFC Ilves
LWLWW
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9
SignalHome won 3/5
Away-context · form sequence
0.60pts / matchVPS Vaasa
LWLLL
Played5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3
SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
43%
Win probability excluding draw
30%9
Points from supplied form
31.77
Expected goals
1.32FC IlvesVPS Vaasa
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.
Match questions
FC Ilves vs VPS Vaasa FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 43% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
FC Ilves win 43%，Draw 27%，VPS Vaasa win 30%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.09 · Over 2.5 60% · Current selection Over。