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FIN Finland Veikkausliiga · Fixture ·

FF Jaro vs AC Oulu

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.68 expected goals
Away form
Home win31%
Draw29%
Away win40%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win40% selection probability
Projected score1–1FF JaroAC Oulu
Expected goals2.68Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over50% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
31% / 29% / 40%Match resultAway win40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.7%)Double chance1271.3%1.40
Over 50% · Under 50%Goals 2.5Over50%2.00
Yes 54% · No 46%Both teams scoreYes54%1.85
2.68 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.6 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
FF Jaro win31%3.23
Draw29%3.45
AC Oulu win40%2.50

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FF Jaro1.20

Home share of expected goals 44.8%

Total expected goals2.68Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 50% · Under 50%

AC Oulu1.48

Away share of expected goals 55.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 54% · No 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

FF Jaro

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

AC Oulu

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
31%
Win probability excluding draw
40%
4
Points from supplied form
4
1.20
Expected goals
1.48
FF JaroAC Oulu
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FF Jaro signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02AC Oulu signalHome failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

FF Jaro vs AC Oulu FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FF Jaro win 31%,Draw 29%,AC Oulu win 40%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.68 · Over 2.5 50% · Current selection Over