Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
46% / 28% / 26%Match resultHome win46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Ventforet Kofu win (26.2%)Double chance1X73.8%1.36
Over 61% · Under 39%Goals 2.5Over61%1.64
Yes 59% · No 41%Both teams scoreYes59%1.69
3.14 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
9.0 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin7.0%Largest probability gapSagan Tosu winDifference+1.5 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sagan Tosu win46%2.172.1044.5%+1.5 pp
Draw28%3.573.2528.8%-0.8 pp
Ventforet Kofu win26%3.853.5026.7%-0.7 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 64%
Total expected goals3.14Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 61% · Under 39%
Away share of expected goals 36%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 59% · No 41%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
0.40pts / matchSagan Tosu
LDLDL
Played5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Points2
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5
Away-context · form sequence
0.20pts / matchVentforet Kofu
LDLLL
Played5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Points1
SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
46%
Win probability excluding draw
26%2
Points from supplied form
12.01
Expected goals
1.13Sagan TosuVentforet Kofu
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 28%.
Match questions
Sagan Tosu vs Ventforet Kofu FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 46% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Sagan Tosu win 46%，Draw 28%，Ventforet Kofu win 26%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.14 · Over 2.5 61% · Current selection Over。