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JPN Japón - J2-League · Partido ·

Sagan Tosu vs Ventforet Kofu

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score2–13.14 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local46%
Empate28%
Victoria visitante26%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local46% selection probability
Projected score2–1Sagan TosuVentforet Kofu
Expected goals3.14Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Más de61% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan59% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
46% / 28% / 26%Resultado del partidoVictoria local46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Ventforet Kofu win (26.2%)Doble Oportunidad1X73.8%1.36
Más de 61% · Menos de 39%Goals 2.5Más de61%1.64
Sí 59% · No 41%Ambos equipos marcan59%1.69
3.14 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–1
9.0 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.0%Largest probability gapSagan Tosu winDifference+1.5 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sagan Tosu win46%2.172.1044.5%+1.5 pp
Empate28%3.573.2528.8%-0.8 pp
Ventforet Kofu win26%3.853.5026.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sagan Tosu2.01

Local share of expected goals 64%

Total expected goals3.14Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Más de 61% · Menos de 39%

Ventforet Kofu1.13

Visitante share of expected goals 36%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 59% · No 41%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Sagan Tosu

0.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Puntos2

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Ventforet Kofu

0.20pts / match
Jugados5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Puntos1

SignalLocal clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Ganado probability excluding draw
26%
2
Points from supplied form
1
2.01
Expected goals
1.13
Sagan TosuVentforet Kofu
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sagan Tosu signalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ventforet Kofu signalLocal clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Sagan Tosu vs Ventforet Kofu FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sagan Tosu ganada 46%,Empate 28%,Ventforet Kofu ganada 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.14 · Más de 2.5 61% · Current selection Más de