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JPN Japonsko - J2-League · Zápas ·

Sagan Tosu vs Ventforet Kofu

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score2–13.14 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich46%
Remíza28%
Výhra hostí26%
Full model forecastVýhra domácichTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácich46% selection probability
Projected score2–1Sagan TosuVentforet Kofu
Expected goals3.14Otvoriť match profile
Goals 2.5Viac61% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúÁno59% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Menej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
46% / 28% / 26%Výsledok zápasuVýhra domácich46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Ventforet Kofu win (26.2%)Dvojitá šanca1X73.8%1.36
Viac 61% · Menej 39%Goals 2.5Viac61%1.64
Áno 59% · Nie 41%Oba tímy skórujúÁno59%1.69
3.14 total expected goalsPresné skóre2–1
9.0 expected match cornersRohyMenej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.0%Largest probability gapSagan Tosu winDifference+1.5 pp
OutcomePredpoveďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sagan Tosu win46%2.172.1044.5%+1.5 pp
Remíza28%3.573.2528.8%-0.8 pp
Ventforet Kofu win26%3.853.5026.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sagan Tosu2.01

Domáci share of expected goals 64%

Total expected goals3.14Otvoriť

Dedicated goals model: Viac 61% · Menej 39%

Ventforet Kofu1.13

Hostia share of expected goals 36%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitÁno 59% · Nie 41%Match profileOtvoriť
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

Sagan Tosu

0.40pts / match
Odohrané5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Body2

SignalDomáci matches over 2.5: 3/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

Ventforet Kofu

0.20pts / match
Odohrané5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Body1

SignalDomáci clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Výhra probability excluding draw
26%
2
Points from supplied form
1
2.01
Expected goals
1.13
Sagan TosuVentforet Kofu
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sagan Tosu signalDomáci matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ventforet Kofu signalDomáci clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Sagan Tosu vs Ventforet Kofu FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácich · Projected score 2–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sagan Tosu výhra 46%,Remíza 28%,Ventforet Kofu výhra 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.14 · Viac 2.5 61% · Current selection Viac