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JPN Giappone - J2-League · Partita ·

Sagan Tosu vs Ventforet Kofu

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–13.14 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa46%
Pareggio28%
Vittoria ospite26%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa46% selection probability
Projected score2–1Sagan TosuVentforet Kofu
Expected goals3.14Apertura match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra61% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano59% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
46% / 28% / 26%Esito partitaVittoria casa46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Ventforet Kofu win (26.2%)Doppia Chance1X73.8%1.36
Sopra 61% · Sotto 39%Goals 2.5Sopra61%1.64
Sì 59% · No 41%Entrambe le squadre segnano59%1.69
3.14 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
9.0 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.0%Largest probability gapSagan Tosu winDifference+1.5 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sagan Tosu win46%2.172.1044.5%+1.5 pp
Pareggio28%3.573.2528.8%-0.8 pp
Ventforet Kofu win26%3.853.5026.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sagan Tosu2.01

Casa share of expected goals 64%

Total expected goals3.14Apertura

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 61% · Sotto 39%

Ventforet Kofu1.13

Trasferta share of expected goals 36%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 59% · No 41%Match profileApertura
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Sagan Tosu

0.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Punti2

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Ventforet Kofu

0.20pts / match
Giocate5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Punti1

SignalCasa clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Vinta probability excluding draw
26%
2
Points from supplied form
1
2.01
Expected goals
1.13
Sagan TosuVentforet Kofu
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sagan Tosu signalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ventforet Kofu signalCasa clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Sagan Tosu vs Ventforet Kofu FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sagan Tosu vinta 46%,Pareggio 28%,Ventforet Kofu vinta 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.14 · Sopra 2.5 61% · Current selection Sopra