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JPN Japão - J2-League · Partida ·

Sagan Tosu vs Ventforet Kofu

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score2–13.14 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa46%
Empate28%
Vitória visitante26%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa46% selection probability
Projected score2–1Sagan TosuVentforet Kofu
Expected goals3.14Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Acima61% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamSim59% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
46% / 28% / 26%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Ventforet Kofu win (26.2%)Dupla Chance1X73.8%1.36
Acima 61% · Abaixo 39%Goals 2.5Acima61%1.64
Sim 59% · Não 41%Ambas as equipes marcamSim59%1.69
3.14 total expected goalsPlacar exato2–1
9.0 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.0%Largest probability gapSagan Tosu winDifference+1.5 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sagan Tosu win46%2.172.1044.5%+1.5 pp
Empate28%3.573.2528.8%-0.8 pp
Ventforet Kofu win26%3.853.5026.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sagan Tosu2.01

Mandante share of expected goals 64%

Total expected goals3.14Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Acima 61% · Abaixo 39%

Ventforet Kofu1.13

Visitante share of expected goals 36%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitSim 59% · Não 41%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Sagan Tosu

0.40pts / match
Jogos5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Pontos2

SignalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Ventforet Kofu

0.20pts / match
Jogos5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Pontos1

SignalMandante clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
26%
2
Points from supplied form
1
2.01
Expected goals
1.13
Sagan TosuVentforet Kofu
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sagan Tosu signalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ventforet Kofu signalMandante clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Sagan Tosu vs Ventforet Kofu FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 2–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sagan Tosu ganhou 46%,Empate 28%,Ventforet Kofu ganhou 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.14 · Acima 2.5 61% · Current selection Acima