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JPN Япония - Джей Лига 2 · Мач ·

Саган Тосу vs Вентфорет Кофу

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score2–13.14 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина46%
Равен28%
Победа за госта26%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина46% selection probability
Projected score2–1Саган ТосуВентфорет Кофу
Expected goals3.14Откриване match profile
Goals 2.5Над61% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа59% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
46% / 28% / 26%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Вентфорет Кофу win (26.2%)Двоен шанс1X73.8%1.36
Над 61% · Под 39%Goals 2.5Над61%1.64
Да 59% · Не 41%И двата отбора да отбележатДа59%1.69
3.14 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–1
9.0 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.0%Largest probability gapСаган Тосу winDifference+1.5 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Саган Тосу win46%2.172.1044.5%+1.5 pp
Равен28%3.573.2528.8%-0.8 pp
Вентфорет Кофу win26%3.853.5026.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Саган Тосу2.01

Домакин share of expected goals 64%

Total expected goals3.14Откриване

Dedicated goals model: Над 61% · Под 39%

Вентфорет Кофу1.13

Гост share of expected goals 36%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 59% · Не 41%Match profileОткриване
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Саган Тосу

0.40pts / match
Изиграни5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Точки2

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Вентфорет Кофу

0.20pts / match
Изиграни5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Точки1

SignalДомакин clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
26%
2
Points from supplied form
1
2.01
Expected goals
1.13
Саган ТосуВентфорет Кофу
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Саган Тосу signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Вентфорет Кофу signalДомакин clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Саган Тосу vs Вентфорет Кофу FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Саган Тосу печеливш 46%,Равен 28%,Вентфорет Кофу печеливш 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.14 · Над 2.5 61% · Current selection Над