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JPN Japan J2-League · Fixture ·

Oita vs Shonan Bellmare

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.55 expected goals
Away form
Home win32%
Draw30%
Away win38%
Market-based forecastAway winTier B · 38% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win38% selection probability
Projected score1–1OitaShonan Bellmare
Expected goals2.55Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under54% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
32% / 30% / 38%Match resultAway win38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (30.1%)Double chance1269.9%1.43
Over 46% · Under 54%Goals 2.5Under54%1.85
Yes 53% · No 47%Both teams scoreYes53%1.89
2.55 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.3 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin9.5%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Oita win32%3.132.9031.5%
Draw30%3.333.0030.4%
Shonan Bellmare win38%2.632.4038.1%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Oita1.25

Home share of expected goals 49%

Total expected goals2.55Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 46% · Under 54%

Shonan Bellmare1.30

Away share of expected goals 51%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 53% · No 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Oita

0.60pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3

SignalHome failed to score: 2/5

Away-context · form sequence

Shonan Bellmare

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalNo recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
32%
Win probability excluding draw
38%
3
Points from supplied form
7
1.25
Expected goals
1.30
OitaShonan Bellmare
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Oita signalHome failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Shonan Bellmare signalNo recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Oita vs Shonan Bellmare FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Oita win 32%,Draw 30%,Shonan Bellmare win 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.55 · Over 2.5 46% · Current selection Under