Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
61% / 23% / 16%Match resultHome win61%1.64
Derived from 1X2 · excludes La Serena win (15.7%)Double chance1X84.3%1.19
Over 60% · Under 40%Goals 2.5Over60%1.67
Yes 51% · No 49%Both teams scoreYes51%1.96
3.09 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
9.8 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin8.4%Largest probability gapCoquimbo Unido winDifference+0.7 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Coquimbo Unido win61%1.641.5360.3%+0.7 pp
Draw23%4.353.9023.7%-0.7 pp
La Serena win16%6.255.7516%0.0 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 73.1%
Total expected goals3.09Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 60% · Under 40%
Away share of expected goals 26.9%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 51% · No 49%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.00pts / matchCoquimbo Unido
LDWLD
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5
SignalHome failed to score: 2/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.00pts / matchLa Serena
LDDLW
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5
SignalAway matches over 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
61%
Win probability excluding draw
16%5
Points from supplied form
52.26
Expected goals
0.83Coquimbo UnidoLa Serena
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 23%.
Match questions
Coquimbo Unido vs La Serena FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 61% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Coquimbo Unido win 61%，Draw 23%，La Serena win 16%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.09 · Over 2.5 60% · Current selection Over。