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INT Chile - Liga de Primera · Partido ·

Coquimbo Unido vs La Serena

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score2–13.09 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local61%
Empate23%
Victoria visitante16%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 61% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local61% selection probability
Projected score2–1Coquimbo UnidoLa Serena
Expected goals3.09Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Más de60% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Más de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
61% / 23% / 16%Resultado del partidoVictoria local61%1.64
Derived from 1X2 · excludes La Serena win (15.7%)Doble Oportunidad1X84.3%1.19
Más de 60% · Menos de 40%Goals 2.5Más de60%1.67
Sí 51% · No 49%Ambos equipos marcan51%1.96
3.09 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–1
9.8 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.4%Largest probability gapCoquimbo Unido winDifference+0.7 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Coquimbo Unido win61%1.641.5360.3%+0.7 pp
Empate23%4.353.9023.7%-0.7 pp
La Serena win16%6.255.7516%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Coquimbo Unido2.26

Local share of expected goals 73.1%

Total expected goals3.09Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Más de 60% · Menos de 40%

La Serena0.83

Visitante share of expected goals 26.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 51% · No 49%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Coquimbo Unido

1.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Puntos5

SignalLocal failed to score: 2/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

La Serena

1.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Puntos5

SignalVisitante matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
61%
Ganado probability excluding draw
16%
5
Points from supplied form
5
2.26
Expected goals
0.83
Coquimbo UnidoLa Serena
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Coquimbo Unido signalLocal failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02La Serena signalVisitante matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk39% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Coquimbo Unido vs La Serena FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–1 · 61% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Coquimbo Unido ganada 61%,Empate 23%,La Serena ganada 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.09 · Más de 2.5 60% · Current selection Más de