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INT Chile Liga de Primera · Maç ·

Coquimbo Unido vs La Serena

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score2–13.09 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır61%
Beraberlik23%
Deplasman kazanır16%
Full model forecastEv sahibi kazanırTier A · 61% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEv sahibi kazanır61% selection probability
Projected score2–1Coquimbo UnidoLa Serena
Expected goals3.09Açılış match profile
Goals 2.5Üst60% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varEvet51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Üst 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
61% / 23% / 16%Maç sonucuEv sahibi kazanır61%1.64
Derived from 1X2 · excludes La Serena win (15.7%)Çifte Şans1X84.3%1.19
Üst 60% · Alt 40%Goals 2.5Üst60%1.67
Evet 51% · Hayır 49%Karşılıklı gol varEvet51%1.96
3.09 total expected goalsDoğru skor2–1
9.8 expected match cornersKornerlerÜst 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.4%Largest probability gapCoquimbo Unido winDifference+0.7 pp
OutcomeTahminAdil oranReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Coquimbo Unido win61%1.641.5360.3%+0.7 pp
Beraberlik23%4.353.9023.7%-0.7 pp
La Serena win16%6.255.7516%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Coquimbo Unido2.26

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 73.1%

Total expected goals3.09Açılış

Dedicated goals model: Üst 60% · Alt 40%

La Serena0.83

Deplasman share of expected goals 26.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitEvet 51% · Hayır 49%Match profileAçılış
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Coquimbo Unido

1.00pts / match
Oynanan5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Puan5

SignalEv Sahibi failed to score: 2/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

La Serena

1.00pts / match
Oynanan5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Puan5

SignalDeplasman matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
61%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
16%
5
Points from supplied form
5
2.26
Expected goals
0.83
Coquimbo UnidoLa Serena
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Coquimbo Unido signalEv Sahibi failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02La Serena signalDeplasman matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk39% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Coquimbo Unido vs La Serena FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ev sahibi kazanır · Projected score 2–1 · 61% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Coquimbo Unido kazanç 61%,Beraberlik 23%,La Serena kazanç 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.09 · 2.5 Üst 60% · Current selection Üst