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INT Chile Liga de Primera · Partida ·

Coquimbo Unido vs La Serena

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score2–13.09 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa61%
Empate23%
Vitória visitante16%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 61% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa61% selection probability
Projected score2–1Coquimbo UnidoLa Serena
Expected goals3.09Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Acima60% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamSim51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Acima 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
61% / 23% / 16%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa61%1.64
Derived from 1X2 · excludes La Serena win (15.7%)Dupla Chance1X84.3%1.19
Acima 60% · Abaixo 40%Goals 2.5Acima60%1.67
Sim 51% · Não 49%Ambas as equipes marcamSim51%1.96
3.09 total expected goalsPlacar exato2–1
9.8 expected match cornersEscanteiosAcima 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.4%Largest probability gapCoquimbo Unido winDifference+0.7 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Coquimbo Unido win61%1.641.5360.3%+0.7 pp
Empate23%4.353.9023.7%-0.7 pp
La Serena win16%6.255.7516%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Coquimbo Unido2.26

Mandante share of expected goals 73.1%

Total expected goals3.09Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Acima 60% · Abaixo 40%

La Serena0.83

Visitante share of expected goals 26.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitSim 51% · Não 49%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Coquimbo Unido

1.00pts / match
Jogos5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Pontos5

SignalMandante failed to score: 2/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

La Serena

1.00pts / match
Jogos5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Pontos5

SignalVisitante matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
61%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
16%
5
Points from supplied form
5
2.26
Expected goals
0.83
Coquimbo UnidoLa Serena
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Coquimbo Unido signalMandante failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02La Serena signalVisitante matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk39% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Coquimbo Unido vs La Serena FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 2–1 · 61% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Coquimbo Unido ganhou 61%,Empate 23%,La Serena ganhou 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.09 · Acima 2.5 60% · Current selection Acima