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INT Chile Liga de Primera · Match ·

Coquimbo Unido vs La Serena

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–13.09 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger61%
Oavgjort23%
Bortaseger16%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 61% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger61% selection probability
Projected score2–1Coquimbo UnidoLa Serena
Expected goals3.09Öppna match profile
Goals 2.5Över60% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
61% / 23% / 16%MatchresultatHemmaseger61%1.64
Derived from 1X2 · excludes La Serena win (15.7%)Dubbelchans1X84.3%1.19
Över 60% · Under 40%Goals 2.5Över60%1.67
Ja 51% · Nej 49%Båda lagen gör målJa51%1.96
3.09 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.8 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.4%Largest probability gapCoquimbo Unido winDifference+0.7 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Coquimbo Unido win61%1.641.5360.3%+0.7 pp
Oavgjort23%4.353.9023.7%-0.7 pp
La Serena win16%6.255.7516%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Coquimbo Unido2.26

Hemma share of expected goals 73.1%

Total expected goals3.09Öppna

Dedicated goals model: Över 60% · Under 40%

La Serena0.83

Borta share of expected goals 26.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 51% · Nej 49%Match profileÖppna
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Coquimbo Unido

1.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Poäng5

SignalHemma failed to score: 2/5

Borta-context · form sequence

La Serena

1.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Poäng5

SignalBorta matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
61%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
16%
5
Points from supplied form
5
2.26
Expected goals
0.83
Coquimbo UnidoLa Serena
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Coquimbo Unido signalHemma failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02La Serena signalBorta matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk39% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Coquimbo Unido vs La Serena FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 61% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Coquimbo Unido vunnen 61%,Oavgjort 23%,La Serena vunnen 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.09 · Över 2.5 60% · Current selection Över