MatchFormula Find a match
Menu
UTC+8
Time zoneAsia/Shanghai
English
INT Chile Liga de Primera · Fixture ·

Universidad Catolica vs Cobresal

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score3–14.11 expected goals
Away form
Home win71%
Draw17%
Away win12%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 71% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win71% selection probability
Projected score3–1Universidad CatolicaCobresal
Expected goals4.11Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over78% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
71% / 17% / 12%Match resultHome win71%1.41
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Cobresal win (12.1%)Double chance1X87.9%1.14
Over 78% · Under 22%Goals 2.5Over78%1.28
Yes 61% · No 39%Both teams scoreYes61%1.64
4.11 total expected goalsCorrect score3–1
9.9 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.6%Largest probability gapUniversidad Catolica winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Universidad Catolica win71%1.411.3369.9%+1.1 pp
Draw17%5.885.2517.7%-0.7 pp
Cobresal win12%8.337.5012.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Universidad Catolica3.09

Home share of expected goals 75.2%

Total expected goals4.11Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 78% · Under 22%

Cobresal1.02

Away share of expected goals 24.8%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitYes 61% · No 39%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Universidad Catolica

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Cobresal

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
71%
Win probability excluding draw
12%
10
Points from supplied form
4
3.09
Expected goals
1.02
Universidad CatolicaCobresal
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Universidad Catolica signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Cobresal signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk29% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 17%.

Match questions

Universidad Catolica vs Cobresal FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 3–1 · 71% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Universidad Catolica win 71%,Draw 17%,Cobresal win 12%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.11 · Over 2.5 78% · Current selection Over