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チャールトン vs ダービー

Archived pre-match prediction

ホーム form
Projected score1–12.29 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利30%
引き分け30%
アウェイ勝利40%
Full model forecastアウェイ勝利Tier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callアウェイ勝利40% selection probability
Projected score1–1チャールトンダービー
Expected goals2.29Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー60% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
30% / 30% / 40%試合結果アウェイ勝利40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes チャールトン win (29.7%)ダブルチャンスX270.3%1.42
オーバー 40% · アンダー 60%Goals 2.5アンダー60%1.67
はい 46% · いいえ 54%両チーム得点いいえ54%1.85
2.29 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1
9.6 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
チャールトン win30%3.33
引き分け30%3.33
ダービー win40%2.50

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

チャールトン0.99

ホーム share of expected goals 43.2%

Total expected goals2.29Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 40% · アンダー 60%

ダービー1.30

アウェイ share of expected goals 56.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 46% · いいえ 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

チャールトン

1.00pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn2Losses2ポイント5

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

ダービー

1.20pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn0Losses3ポイント6

Signalアウェイ matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
30%
勝ち probability excluding draw
40%
5
Points from supplied form
6
0.99
Expected goals
1.30
チャールトンダービー
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01チャールトン signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ダービー signalアウェイ matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

チャールトン vs ダービー FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: アウェイ勝利 · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

チャールトン 勝ち 30%,引き分け 30%,ダービー 勝ち 40%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.29 · オーバー 2.5 40% · Current selection アンダー