Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
30% / 30% / 40%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Charlton win (29.7%)Dubbele KansX270.3%1.42
Boven 40% · Onder 60%Goals 2.5Onder60%1.67
Ja 46% · Nee 54%Beide teams scorenNee54%1.85
2.29 total expected goalsExacte score1–1——
9.6 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Charlton win30%3.33
Gelijkspel30%3.33
Derby win40%2.50
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Thuis share of expected goals 43.2%
Total expected goals2.29Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Boven 40% · Onder 60%
Uit share of expected goals 56.8%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 46% · Nee 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Thuis-context · form sequence
1.00pts / matchCharlton
DLWLD
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punten5
SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5
Uit-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchDerby
LLWLW
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punten6
SignalUit matches over 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
30%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
40%5
Points from supplied form
60.99
Expected goals
1.30CharltonDerby
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 30%.
Match questions
Charlton vs Derby FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Charlton gewonnen 30%，Gelijkspel 30%，Derby gewonnen 40%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.29 · Boven 2.5 40% · Current selection Onder。