Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
30% / 30% / 40%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Charlton win (29.7%)Double chanceX270.3%1.42
Plus de 40% · Moins de 60%Goals 2.5Moins de60%1.67
Oui 46% · Non 54%Les deux équipes marquentNon54%1.85
2.29 total expected goalsScore exact1–1——
9.6 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
Non snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityCote juste
Charlton win30%3.33
Nul30%3.33
Derby win40%2.50
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Domicile share of expected goals 43.2%
Total expected goals2.29Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Plus de 40% · Moins de 60%
Extérieur share of expected goals 56.8%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 46% · Non 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Domicile-context · form sequence
1.00pts / matchCharlton
DLWLD
Joués5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5
SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5
Extérieur-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchDerby
LLWLW
Joués5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6
SignalExtérieur matches over 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
30%
Gagné probability excluding draw
40%5
Points from supplied form
60.99
Expected goals
1.30CharltonDerby
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 30%.
Match questions
Charlton vs Derby FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Charlton victoire 30%，Nul 30%，Derby victoire 40%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.29 · Plus de 2.5 40% · Current selection Moins de。