Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
30% / 30% / 40%Esito partitaVittoria ospite40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Charlton win (29.7%)Doppia ChanceX270.3%1.42
Sopra 40% · Sotto 60%Goals 2.5Sotto60%1.67
Sì 46% · No 54%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo54%1.85
2.29 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1——
9.6 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Charlton win30%3.33
Pareggio30%3.33
Derby win40%2.50
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Casa share of expected goals 43.2%
Total expected goals2.29Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Sopra 40% · Sotto 60%
Trasferta share of expected goals 56.8%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitSì 46% · No 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Casa-context · form sequence
1.00pts / matchCharlton
DLWLD
Giocate5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punti5
SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5
Trasferta-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchDerby
LLWLW
Giocate5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punti6
SignalTrasferta matches over 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
30%
Vinta probability excluding draw
40%5
Points from supplied form
60.99
Expected goals
1.30CharltonDerby
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 30%.
Match questions
Charlton vs Derby FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Vittoria ospite · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Charlton vinta 30%，Pareggio 30%，Derby vinta 40%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.29 · Sopra 2.5 40% · Current selection Sotto。