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JPN J1リーグ · Round 1 ·

名古屋グランパス vs 清水エスパルス

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score2–12.70 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利43%
引き分け28%
アウェイ勝利29%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利43% selection probability
Projected score2–1名古屋グランパス清水エスパルス
Expected goals2.70Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー51% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
43% / 28% / 29%試合結果ホーム勝利43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.3%)ダブルチャンス1271.7%1.39
オーバー 51% · アンダー 49%Goals 2.5オーバー51%1.96
はい 54% · いいえ 46%両チーム得点はい54%1.85
2.70 total expected goals正確なスコア2–1
9.5 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
名古屋グランパス win43%2.33
引き分け28%3.57
清水エスパルス win29%3.45

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

名古屋グランパス1.58

ホーム share of expected goals 58.5%

Total expected goals2.70Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 51% · アンダー 49%

清水エスパルス1.12

アウェイ share of expected goals 41.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitはい 54% · いいえ 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

名古屋グランパス

1.80pts / match
試合数5Wins3Drawn0Losses2ポイント9

Signalホーム won 3/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

清水エスパルス

1.00pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn2Losses2ポイント5

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
勝ち probability excluding draw
29%
9
Points from supplied form
5
1.58
Expected goals
1.12
名古屋グランパス清水エスパルス
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01名古屋グランパス signalホーム won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02清水エスパルス signalホーム matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

名古屋グランパス vs 清水エスパルス FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

名古屋グランパス 勝ち 43%,引き分け 28%,清水エスパルス 勝ち 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.70 · オーバー 2.5 51% · Current selection オーバー