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JPN Япония - Джей Лига · Round 1 ·

Нагоя Грампус vs Шимицу С-Пулс

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score2–12.70 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина43%
Равен28%
Победа за госта29%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина43% selection probability
Projected score2–1Нагоя ГрампусШимицу С-Пулс
Expected goals2.70Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Над51% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
43% / 28% / 29%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.3%)Двоен шанс1271.7%1.39
Над 51% · Под 49%Goals 2.5Над51%1.96
Да 54% · Не 46%И двата отбора да отбележатДа54%1.85
2.70 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–1
9.5 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Не snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедлив коефициент
Нагоя Грампус win43%2.33
Равен28%3.57
Шимицу С-Пулс win29%3.45

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Нагоя Грампус1.58

Домакин share of expected goals 58.5%

Total expected goals2.70Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 51% · Под 49%

Шимицу С-Пулс1.12

Гост share of expected goals 41.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 54% · Не 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Нагоя Грампус

1.80pts / match
Изиграни5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Точки9

SignalДомакин won 3/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Шимицу С-Пулс

1.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Точки5

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
29%
9
Points from supplied form
5
1.58
Expected goals
1.12
Нагоя ГрампусШимицу С-Пулс
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Нагоя Грампус signalДомакин won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Шимицу С-Пулс signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Нагоя Грампус vs Шимицу С-Пулс FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Нагоя Грампус печеливш 43%,Равен 28%,Шимицу С-Пулс печеливш 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.70 · Над 2.5 51% · Current selection Над