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JPN Japan - J-League · Round 1 ·

Nagoya Grampus vs Shimizu S-Pulse

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–12.70 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger43%
Oavgjort28%
Bortaseger29%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger43% selection probability
Projected score2–1Nagoya GrampusShimizu S-Pulse
Expected goals2.70Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Över51% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
43% / 28% / 29%MatchresultatHemmaseger43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.3%)Dubbelchans1271.7%1.39
Över 51% · Under 49%Goals 2.5Över51%1.96
Ja 54% · Nej 46%Båda lagen gör målJa54%1.85
2.70 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.5 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
Nagoya Grampus win43%2.33
Oavgjort28%3.57
Shimizu S-Pulse win29%3.45

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Nagoya Grampus1.58

Hemma share of expected goals 58.5%

Total expected goals2.70Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 51% · Under 49%

Shimizu S-Pulse1.12

Borta share of expected goals 41.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 54% · Nej 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Nagoya Grampus

1.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Poäng9

SignalHemma won 3/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Shimizu S-Pulse

1.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Poäng5

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
29%
9
Points from supplied form
5
1.58
Expected goals
1.12
Nagoya GrampusShimizu S-Pulse
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Nagoya Grampus signalHemma won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Shimizu S-Pulse signalHemma matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Nagoya Grampus vs Shimizu S-Pulse FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Nagoya Grampus vunnen 43%,Oavgjort 28%,Shimizu S-Pulse vunnen 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.70 · Över 2.5 51% · Current selection Över