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JPN Japón - J League · Round 1 ·

Nagoya Grampus vs Shimizu S-Pulse

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score2–12.70 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local43%
Empate28%
Victoria visitante29%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local43% selection probability
Projected score2–1Nagoya GrampusShimizu S-Pulse
Expected goals2.70Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Más de51% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
43% / 28% / 29%Resultado del partidoVictoria local43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.3%)Doble Oportunidad1271.7%1.39
Más de 51% · Menos de 49%Goals 2.5Más de51%1.96
Sí 54% · No 46%Ambos equipos marcan54%1.85
2.70 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–1
9.5 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCuotas justas
Nagoya Grampus win43%2.33
Empate28%3.57
Shimizu S-Pulse win29%3.45

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Nagoya Grampus1.58

Local share of expected goals 58.5%

Total expected goals2.70Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 51% · Menos de 49%

Shimizu S-Pulse1.12

Visitante share of expected goals 41.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 54% · No 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Nagoya Grampus

1.80pts / match
Jugados5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Puntos9

SignalLocal won 3/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Shimizu S-Pulse

1.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Puntos5

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Ganado probability excluding draw
29%
9
Points from supplied form
5
1.58
Expected goals
1.12
Nagoya GrampusShimizu S-Pulse
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Nagoya Grampus signalLocal won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Shimizu S-Pulse signalLocal matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Nagoya Grampus vs Shimizu S-Pulse FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Nagoya Grampus ganada 43%,Empate 28%,Shimizu S-Pulse ganada 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.70 · Más de 2.5 51% · Current selection Más de