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ボクストン vs ヘレフォード

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score2–13.35 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利53%
引き分け25%
アウェイ勝利23%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 53% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利53% selection probability
Projected score2–1ボクストンヘレフォード
Expected goals3.35始値 match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー65% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8オーバー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
53% / 25% / 23%試合結果ホーム勝利53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ヘレフォード win (22.8%)ダブルチャンス1X77.2%1.30
オーバー 65% · アンダー 35%Goals 2.5オーバー65%1.54
はい 61% · いいえ 39%両チーム得点はい61%1.64
3.35 total expected goals正確なスコア2–1
9.8 expected match cornersコーナーオーバー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
ボクストン win53%1.89
引き分け25%4.00
ヘレフォード win23%4.35

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ボクストン2.22

ホーム share of expected goals 66.3%

Total expected goals3.35始値

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 65% · アンダー 35%

ヘレフォード1.13

アウェイ share of expected goals 33.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitはい 61% · いいえ 39%Match profile始値
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

ボクストン

2.00pts / match
試合数5Wins3Drawn1Losses1ポイント10

Signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

ヘレフォード

1.60pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn2Losses1ポイント8

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
勝ち probability excluding draw
23%
10
Points from supplied form
8
2.22
Expected goals
1.13
ボクストンヘレフォード
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ボクストン signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ヘレフォード signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

ボクストン vs ヘレフォード FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ボクストン 勝ち 53%,引き分け 25%,ヘレフォード 勝ち 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.35 · オーバー 2.5 65% · Current selection オーバー